I find it quite laughable that a certain Daniel Wagner, CEO of a certain Country Risk Solutions would, on one hand, observe
how the Philippines has long been held back by a people that “didn’t
demand enough of themselves, or of their government” and sustains a
habit of accepting “a low common denominator of performance” in its
leaders but then, on the other hand laud current President Benigno
Simeon ‘BS’ Aquino III as the man behind an economy that “skyrocketed”
since he took office supposedly making the country “the next economic
miracle of Asia.”
What escapes Wagner’s “expert” mind is the fact that Aquino was,
himself, a lowest-common-denominator candidate in the 2010 elections.
Where debates on qualifications and platforms failed to move Filipino
voters, Aquino’s pedigree and prayerfulness and the sympathy he
attracted following the death of his popular mother was what ultimately
won him the presidency.
What
does Wagner even know about the Philippines to begin with? The claim
alone that the Philippines suddenly got from bad to good as soon as
President BS Aquino assumed power is indicative of a disturbingly sloppy
analysis style. For starters, national economies are complex systems
with a million and one variables at play. What sort of maths did Wagner
use to conclude that President BS Aquino is the singular cause of
the Philipines’ purported transformation to the next Asian “miracle”.
Second, there seems to have been a noticeable silence coming from an
organisation that describes itself as a “country risk” expert on the
contributions of former President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo.
There is lots of debate over whether Arroyo’s nine-year rule over the
Philippines had a good or bad effect on its fortunes. But nine years is
still a lot more time to effect a presidential influence on a national
economy compared to the five years that Aquino had so far racked up. How
much groundwork for economic growth has Aquino actually lain and how
much of the movement in economic indicators observed over the last five
years is accounted for by what Aquino had done so far?
Well, ok, Wagner did not really say Aquino single-handedly turned the
Philippines into an “economic miracle” (whatever that last-Century
phrase actually does mean). He said that this improvement in economic
fortunes was “due, in large part, to Aquino’s refusal to continue the
regrettable tradition of corruption, nepotism and abuse of power.” How
big a part exactly?
Funny that considering the world’s Big Businesses and the politicians
they prop up all salivate over the economic muscle of China and India,
two behemoths that also happen to be amongst the world’s most corrupt
countries. So we should really question the whole idea that stamping out
corruption necessarily makes a country wealthier.
Then again, perhaps it does — if you look at the right numbers. A lot
of the Second Aquino Administration’s cheerleaders in the international
media always quote macro economic indicators to “prove” what an all
around great guy President BS Aquino is. The trouble with that approach
is that it does not consider who exactly is collecting all the
fruits of this economic “growth”. Much of the Philippine economy is
controlled by a tiny elite clique of oligarchs and foreign “investors”
while just about all of Philippine politics is driven either by the same
families or lackeys of these families being drip-fed with a steady
“commission” from their rent incomes.
So in the case of the Philippines, “eliminating corruption” likely
means eliminating it in “the right places” — specifically in places that
impede the financial prosperity of specific families. Have a shooting buddy who is into an import-export business? No problemo compadré.
Let’s sack the incumbent Customs chief and “reform” the bureau. Need to
return a favour to a rich uncle stuck with a vast but insolvent hacienda in Luzon? No worries, pañero, let’s slander the “tainted” Supreme Court Chief Justice and replace him with one of our “friendlier” girls.
There are many ways to package a payback government into a
“reform administration”. That’s Philippine Presidency 101. Look no
further than all the discussion and “debate” surrounding who the next
president will be after the coming 2016 presidential elections. The
discussion is, yet again, a discussion around finding the best Lowest
Common Denominator candidate money could buy. The “unacceptable”
alternatives out there are the “evil” and “corrupt” candidates while the
ones to “seriously consider” are the ones seen to have not done
anything bad yet.
The above pretty much summarises the bobotante thinking
Filipinos apply to determining their fortunes past 2016. It hasn’t
changed much. Indeed, what is likely the biggest motivation for
President BS Aquino now that his days as the most powerful man in the
Philippines are numbered is to keep himself out of jail post-2016.
Perhaps one way to do that is to reflect on the way he’s been
treating his predecessor, former President Arroyo. Already, renowned
international human rights lawyer Amal Alamuddin Clooney has taken
notice of Arroyo’s plight, reportedly elevating her case before the United Nations Human Rights Council as an “urgent” case.
“We felt that Arroyo is being singled out,” [Arroyo’s lawyer, Atty. Larry Gadon] said.
Arroyo’s lawyer said under a case considered urgent, the UN body will send a confidential communication to the government of the accused’s country.
Meanwhile, if it is placed under regular procedure, Arroyo’s case may still be tackled in the late part of the year, Gadon said.
“The urgent action means they will send a communication to the Philippine government to appeal for the bail of Arroyo for humanitarian reasons. There is no legality that will be discussed,” Gadon said.
“Democracy” in the Philippines has descended into a cycle of
incumbents throwing their precedents in prison then helping themselves
to the national treasury to undertake their own
personal-agenda-motivated “projects” masquerading them as “reform”
initiatives. And each politician masquerading as a “leader” is really
just the representativeof business and private interests allied with him or her.
And the economy? What about it? As Arroyo said in her seminal piece, It’s the Economy Student!,
the achievements of presidents are just parts of “the continuum of
history,” each one one building “on the efforts of previous leaders” and
as such means that “[each] successive government must build on the
successes and progress of the previous ones: advance the programs that
work, leave behind those that don’t.”
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